Philip E. Tetlock
Autor(a) de Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
About the Author
Philip E. Tetlock is the Annenberg University Professor at the University of Pennsylvania. His books include Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction and Counterfactual Thought Experiments in World Politics (Princeton).
Obras de Philip E. Tetlock
Associated Works
Taking Sides: Clashing Views in Social Psychology (2006) — Contribuinte, algumas edições — 19 cópias
Psychological Science Under Scrutiny: Recent Challenges and Proposed Remedies (2017) — Contribuinte — 7 cópias
Etiquetado
Conhecimento Comum
- Nome padrão
- Tetlock, Philip E.
- Nome de batismo
- Tetlock, Philip Eyrikson
- Data de nascimento
- 1954-03-02
- Sexo
- male
- Nacionalidade
- USA
Canada (birth) - Local de nascimento
- Toronto, Ontario, Canada
- Educação
- University of British Columbia (BA | 1975 | MA | 1976)
Yale University (PhD | Psychology | 1979) - Ocupação
- psychologist
professor - Relacionamentos
- Sniderman, Paul M. (co-editor)
Brody, Richard A. (co-editor) - Organizações
- University of California, Berkeley
Ohio State University
Haas School of Business - Premiações
- Grawemeyer Award (2008)
Woodrow Wilson Book Award (1992 | 2005)
Robert E. Lane Award (2005)
National Academy of Sciences Award for Behavioral Research Relevant to the Prevention of War (1999)
Nevitt Sanford Award (1997)
American Association for the Advancement of Science Prize for Behavioral Science Research (1988) (mostrar todas 10)
Erik H. Erikson Award (1987)
Distinguished Scientific Award for Early Career Contribution to Social Psychology (1986)
Governor-General's Gold Medal (1975)
British Columbia Psychological Association Gold Medal (1975)
Membros
Resenhas
Listas
Prêmios
You May Also Like
Associated Authors
Estatísticas
- Obras
- 7
- Also by
- 2
- Membros
- 1,408
- Popularidade
- #18,249
- Avaliação
- 4.0
- Resenhas
- 42
- ISBNs
- 42
- Idiomas
- 7
A much more important ans very interesting final few chapters on the broader space of trying to predict events in the future, probability distributions, and complexity. The question about the limits of forecasting is commendable and perhaps one of the most important points of the book. We can talk about knowledge and prediction within a certain timeframe but beyond that it is a completely different situation and the game changes and its impossible to really
look ahead that far.… (mais)