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The Art of Thinking Clearly (2012)

de Rolf Dobelli

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1,4732812,291 (3.68)1
Have you ever . . . Invested time in something that, in hindsight, just wasn't worth it? Paid too much in an eBay auction? Continued to do something you knew was bad for you? Sold stocks too late, or too early? Taken credit for success, but blamed failure on external circumstances? Backed the wrong horse? These are examples of what the author calls cognitive biases, simple errors all of us make in day-to-day thinking. But by knowing what they are and how to identify them, we can avoid them and make better choices: whether in dealing with personal problems or business negotiations, trying to save money or earn profits, or merely working out what we really want in life-and strategizing the best way to get it. Already an international bestseller, The Art of Thinking Clearly distills cutting-edge research from behavioral economics, psychology, and neuroscience into a clever, practical guide for anyone who's ever wanted to be wiser and make better decisions. A novelist, thinker, and entrepreneur, Rolf Dobelli deftly shows that in order to lead happier, more prosperous lives, we don't need extra cunning, new ideas, shiny gadgets, or more frantic hyperactivity-all we need is less irrationality. Simple, clear, and always surprising, this indispensable book will change the way you think and transform your decision making-at work, at home, every day. From why you shouldn't accept a free drink to why you should walk out of a movie you don't like, from why it's so hard to predict the future to why you shouldn't watch the news, The Art of Thinking Clearly helps solve the puzzle of human reasoning.… (mais)
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Mostrando 1-5 de 28 (seguinte | mostrar todas)
My wife sent me a picture of a stack of books from a post that called them “20 Books To Read In Your 20s”.



I’d read three already (and can only really recommend one of those, McRaven’s Make Your Bed), so I decided to see if there was any merit to the rest of the stack. I tried to imagine what a twenty-something me would take away, and of course, the current me informs how I read it now.

As I make my way through the list, I’ve mentally sorted them into “No”, “Qualified No”, “Qualified Yes”, “Yes” categories. One of the books gave me pause and I had to add a new category: “Not Only No, But…”.

This one is a Qualified Maybe* One of the best things Mr. Dobelli says in this book is “This is not a how-to book. You won’t find “seven steps to an error-free life” here.” Yet, I guess all or most of the 99 essays came from blog posts, which might explain the short, attempted everyman approach with a veneer of accessibility dressing that doesn’t quite cut it.

Dobelli also says in his Epilogue, “I have listed almost one hundred thinking errors in this book without answering the question: What are thinking errors anyway? What is irrationality? Why do we fall into these traps? ”

What he also doesn’t do is explain the fallacies, biases, heuristics very well, and he has scattershot examples for each of his targets that don’t always follow… he does a poor job of tying together those examples (the short format might be to blame.) I think a good example would be his essay on the clustering illusion and references to pareidolia without identifying it (save a poor example in his notes). He jumps off that into seeing patterns where they aren’t before redeeming himself (this time) with “When it comes to pattern recognition, we are oversensitive. Regain your skepticism. If you think you have discovered a pattern, first consider it pure chance. If it seems too good to be true, find a mathematician and have the data tested statistically. And if the crispy parts of your pancake start to look a lot like Jesus’s face, ask yourself: If he really wants to reveal himself, why doesn’t he do it in Times Square or on CNN?”

As a book on critical thinking, its chief value is in applying your knowledge of critical thinking to what he has cobbled together. But be warned, you’ll soon tire of having to check pretty much everything he says.

So, Qualified Maybe if you want to bounce your learning off of a different book, but look elsewhere if you want to learn about logical fallacies. ( )
  Razinha | Feb 7, 2024 |
A good summary of irrational thinking. ( )
  wvlibrarydude | Jan 14, 2024 |
Good book and a wonderful companion to "Thinking Fast and Slow" by Daniel Kahneman. ( )
  EZLivin | Jul 4, 2023 |
I’ve been intrigued by the way people think since I was a very young adult. I even made a professional career out of dissecting people’s faulty thinking and teaching them how to challenge those irrational thoughts. So, I’m always interested in learning more thinking errors for my own personal growth as well as the population I serve.

Rolf Dobelli is a Swiss author who originally began his writing career as a novelist. In The Art of Thinking Clearly, Dobelli examines the cognitive biases, or thinking errors, we engage on a daily basis. I listened to the audiobook and can definitely see how a physical copy of this book would be super helpful. He identifies 99 cognitive biases in relatively short chapters. The large number of errors discussed in audio format made it difficult for me to remember them for the best application. Dobelli explains each concept thoroughly and provides understandable and relatable examples. There are times where he uses math, statistics, and probabilities to illustrate his point. Well, I have a serious aversion to anything math related. I suck at it and likely always will. So, those examples were naturally hard for me, but may be very helpful for others skilled with numbers. Overall, I enjoyed this and am glad I read it. ( )
  NatalieRiley | Jun 17, 2023 |
Der Kern des Buches steckt für mich in dem Punkt "Warum Sie gegenüber Autoritäten respektlos sein sollten". (Seiten 37-39) Schlicht und ergreifend sollten wir damit beginnen, weil unser selbstständiges Denken sonst einfach Stufe um Stufe herunterschält. Die Menschheit ergab sich bisher sehr gerne diesen Autoritäten, weil das Leben einfach wurde, schwarz-weiss, klar und die Verführer auf den Bühnen ihre Veitstänze aufführen konnten, die aussahen wie paradiesische Galavorstellungen. Hannes Wader beschreibt das in dem Film Wecker Wader Vaterland so eindrücklich und ehrlich. Der kommunistische Traum flog ihm dabei um die Ohren und er musste das selbstständige Denken wieder lernen, Schritt für Schritt, mühsam wie nach einem Schlaganfall.

NIchts Genaues weiß man nicht, so stellen sich alle anderen Wahrscheinlichkeitsberechnungen in diesem Buch dar, Vordergründiges wird in den Hintergrund geschoben, während andere Aspekte beleuchtet werden, die wichtiger sein können als das Übliche. "Das Leben ist ein Wirrwarr, schlimmer als ein Wollknäuel", steht auf Seite 53. Rolf Dobelli legt uns dieses Wirrwarr zurück auf den Anfang, gerade Schnüre, übersichtlich und logisch, aber doch irrelevant oft in wichtigen Situationen, die eben immer anders sind als sie von einem Autor vorauszudenken wären. Der Arzt, der ihm Antibiotika verschreibt könnte ebenso Recht gehabt haben (seiner Wahrscheinlichkeit nach) wie die Tatsache, dass der Autor einen Blinddarm zu beklagen hatte. Das Leben ist mehr als eine Wahrscheinlichkeitsberechnung.

Ein Tagebuch zu führen wird empfohlen, um die eigene, schlechte Vorhersagefähigkeit unter Beweis zu stellen (S 59). So ist es leider auch mit den meisten Tipps in diesem Buch, man beginnt nicht klarer zu denken, sondern umfassender, zweifelnder, skeptischer. Letzten Endes ist das die wesentliche Dimension allen Denkens, trauen sollte man wenigen, und schon gar nicht sich selbst. Am wenigsten jedoch wäre dem Chauffeurwissen (nachgeplappertes Know-how ohne Tiefgang) zu trauen, das heute jeder so eloquent verschleudert, dass die Worthülsen vermeintlich so sitzen wie bei jenem Rezensenten, der seine Glaubwürdigkeit aus dem selbst verschuldeten Nr. 0 Status bezog.

Wenn Sie Ihre Sucht nach Autoritäten, nach einfachen Regeln bekämpfen, wenn Sie in das freifloatende Nichts-Genaues-Weiß-Man-Nicht eintauchen und endlich schwimmen lernen wollen, dann ist dieses Buch erste Wahl. Witzig, amüsant geschrieben, mit schönsten Zitaten und Anekdoten aufgelockert, garniert es jene Wissensbausteine, die man braucht, um die Realität genauer zu sehen, aber nicht klarer. Im Gegenteil: die Welt wird dadurch spannender, vielfältiger und selbst Wollknäuel zu neuen Mustern verstricken zu können, macht Spaß. Dabei sollte man sich auf engere Kompetenzkreise verlassen, also jene Aufgaben erkennen, die man wirklich kann und nicht in Wolkenkuckucksheimen zu Hause sein, meint der Autor. Davon bin ich weniger überzeugt. Ebensowenig überzeugt mich der Ratschlag, sämtliche Ratgeberliteratur zu vergessen und insb. die positive Psychologie. Dieses Buch ist ebenfalls eine Art Ratgeber, den man ebenso mit Gewinn lesen kann wie alle anderen auch, wenn man dabei skeptisch bleibt und sogenannte Regeln hinterfragt bzw. immer wieder neu auf den Prüfstand stellt. Hierzu ein hilfreiches Zitat, von dem ich den Urheber nicht kenne: Regeln im Leben sind Krücken für kreativ Lahme.

Es fallen handfeste Tipps aus den Seiten, die ihr Geld wert sein können, Alltagswissen des gesunden Menschenverstandes im Grunde, wenn man weniger autoritätsgetrieben ist als andere: "Anwälte, Architekten, Berater, Wirtschaftsprüfer oder Fahrlehrer nach Aufwand zu bezahlen, ist idiotisch. Diese Leute haben einen Anreiz, möglichst viel Aufwand zu generieren. Machen Sie deshalb vorab einen fixen Preis aus." Ich ging vor langer Zeit zu einem Fahrlehrer und sagte ihm, dass ich schon fahren könne (es entsprach der Wahrheit) und ihm die Summe x zahlen würde. Er ging darauf ein, mir lediglich 1 Fahrstunde zu geben, um dann die Prüfung durchzuführen, in der ich den Prüfer zu einigen Amtsanlaufstellen kutschieren durfte.

2011
  Clu98 | Apr 24, 2023 |
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Rolf Dobelliautor principaltodas as ediçõescalculado
Griffin, NickyTradutorautor secundárioalgumas ediçõesconfirmado
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Die in diesem Buch veröffentlichten Texte Rolf Dobellis sind im Zeitraum vom 5. September 2010 bis zum 29. August 2011 als wöchentliche Beiträge in der Frankfurter Allgemeinen Zeitung und in der Schweizer SonntagsZeitung erschienen.
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Have you ever . . . Invested time in something that, in hindsight, just wasn't worth it? Paid too much in an eBay auction? Continued to do something you knew was bad for you? Sold stocks too late, or too early? Taken credit for success, but blamed failure on external circumstances? Backed the wrong horse? These are examples of what the author calls cognitive biases, simple errors all of us make in day-to-day thinking. But by knowing what they are and how to identify them, we can avoid them and make better choices: whether in dealing with personal problems or business negotiations, trying to save money or earn profits, or merely working out what we really want in life-and strategizing the best way to get it. Already an international bestseller, The Art of Thinking Clearly distills cutting-edge research from behavioral economics, psychology, and neuroscience into a clever, practical guide for anyone who's ever wanted to be wiser and make better decisions. A novelist, thinker, and entrepreneur, Rolf Dobelli deftly shows that in order to lead happier, more prosperous lives, we don't need extra cunning, new ideas, shiny gadgets, or more frantic hyperactivity-all we need is less irrationality. Simple, clear, and always surprising, this indispensable book will change the way you think and transform your decision making-at work, at home, every day. From why you shouldn't accept a free drink to why you should walk out of a movie you don't like, from why it's so hard to predict the future to why you shouldn't watch the news, The Art of Thinking Clearly helps solve the puzzle of human reasoning.

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