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Carregando... Noise: A Flaw in Human Judgment (edição: 2021)de Daniel Kahneman (Autor)
Informações da ObraNoise: A Flaw in Human Jugdment de Daniel Kahneman
Books Read in 2022 (1,434) Carregando...
Registre-se no LibraryThing tpara descobrir se gostará deste livro. Ainda não há conversas na Discussão sobre este livro. I found the first 200 pages of this book to be almost impenetrable and frequently forgot a sentence shortly after reading it. That said, the book and its import improve. If you’ve read Kahneman’s earlier work, Thinking Fast and Slow, you’ll be familiar with the use of a core metaphor to the argument. While the book says it’s about “Noise” it’s really about the statistical sources of bad judgments. Noise is the shorthand systems engineers use to explain flaws in the system. Kahneman et al want us to take a systems view of bad judgments, and bad judges. There is hope for them yet. Forestalling judgment until the evidence is collected, breaking down complex judgments to their constituent parts, employing baseline comparisons, and employing objective referees will all yield better judgments in business, in law and medicine, and in life. I certainly hope so. I have trouble just dealing with the volume of judgments I am called upon to make everyday in business. There is a lot here to think about, especially about the people who are the experts we rely upon, and how they frequently get important things wrong. Focuses specifically on system noise (which is different from cognitive biases). With implications on decision-making and all types of human judgments and systems. You'll learn: • What is system noise and how it affects all types of decisions, from personal to professional judgments, individual to group decisions, and private sector to public sector; • The difference between noise and bias, the components of system noise, how to evaluate the quality of judgments and measure noise; • A range of strategies for reducing noise, including: how to do noise audits, find good judges, use de-biasing, and adopt various preventive decision hygiene strategies; • Problems and limits to noise reduction, and how we can consider the “right” level of noise to accept. Book summary at: https://readingraphics.com/book-summary-noise/ sem resenhas | adicionar uma resenha
Prêmios
Discusses why people make bad judgments and how to make better ones by reducing the influence of "noise"--variables that can cause bias in decision making--and draws on examples in many fields, including medicine, law, economic forecasting, forensic science, strategy, and personnel selection. Não foram encontradas descrições de bibliotecas. |
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Google Books — Carregando... GênerosClassificação decimal de Dewey (CDD)153.83Philosophy and Psychology Psychology Cognition And Memory Decision Making And Persuasion Decision MakingClassificação da Biblioteca do Congresso dos E.U.A. (LCC)AvaliaçãoMédia:
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