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Carregando... Democracies and Dictatorships in Latin America: Emergence, Survival, and Fallde Scott Mainwaring
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This book presents a new theory for why political regimes emerge, and why they subsequently survive or break down. It then analyzes the emergence, survival and fall of democracies and dictatorships in Latin America since 1900. Scott Mainwaring and Aníbal Pérez-Liñán argue for a theoretical approach situated between long-term structural and cultural explanations and short-term explanations that look at the decisions of specific leaders. They focus on the political preferences of powerful actors - the degree to which they embrace democracy as an intrinsically desirable end and their policy radicalism - to explain regime outcomes. They also demonstrate that transnational forces and influences are crucial to understand regional waves of democratization. Based on extensive research into the political histories of all twenty Latin American countries, this book offers the first extended analysis of regime emergence, survival and failure for all of Latin America over a long period of time. Não foram encontradas descrições de bibliotecas. |
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Google Books — Carregando... GênerosClassificação decimal de Dewey (CDD)320.98Social sciences Political Science Political Science Political situation and conditions South AmericaClassificação da Biblioteca do Congresso dos E.U.A. (LCC)AvaliaçãoMédia: Sem avaliação.É você?Torne-se um autor do LibraryThing. |
However, meaningless correlation coefficients between ”coded” variables are fortunately not a central part of this book, even though it contains a few tablefuls of them. The authors actually have a fairly interesting theory about democratic and dictatorial developments in Latin America in the twentieth century. The theory puts a lot of weight on the regime preferences of politically important actors and on international influences. Especially the authors' qualitative discussion of Argentinean politics in chapter 5 seems to support their argument. The authors also provide a nice critique of alternative explanations for democratic / dictatorial regime changes, such as modernization theory, class theory, and theories of mass political culture.
I sympathize with the author’s explanatory dilemma. They have a good historical argument on Latin American democratization and they seek to defend it through statistical evidence. But statistics turns into complete pseudo-science when you try to assign numerical values to abstractions, such as regime preferences of various Latin American political actors who were on the scene many decades ago. Due to the great unreliability of statistical "coding", the general parts of the argument are really not interesting. However, the same argument is made much better through citation and synthesis of written sources in the country-specific case studies of Argentina and El Salvador, and these sections were certainly worth reading.